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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 10, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux
Watford logo

Wolves
4 - 0
Watford

Jimenez (13'), Camilo Hernandez (18' og.), Podence (21'), Neves (85')
Ait-Nouri (35'), Saiss (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Louza (19'), Samir (40')

Preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford will both aim to bounce back from weekend defeats in Thursday's Premier League showdown at Molineux.

Bruno Lage's side went down 2-0 to Crystal Palace last time out, while the Hornets fell to a 3-2 defeat at home to Arsenal in a game of spectacular strikes.


Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Bruno Lage reacts on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Any hopes of a top-four challenge appear to be slowly evaporating for this out-of-sorts Wolves side, who fell to their third top-flight defeat on the bounce in truly dismal fashion at home to Patrick Vieira's Crystal Palace on Saturday afternoon.

Jean-Philippe Mateta drew first blood for the Eagles with 19 minutes on the clock before Wilfried Zaha's penalty killed the game off before half time, and Lage certainly made his frustrations known following the full-time whistle.

The injured Ki-Jana Hoever bore the brunt of his manager's anger after Lage singled him out for criticism after the defeat, with the cracks now beginning to show as Wolves battle to keep their aspirations of qualifying for any continental competition alive.

Successive losses to Arsenal, West Ham United and Crystal Palace have seen Wolves plummet to eighth in the rankings - now five points behind Tottenham Hotspur in seventh place having played two games more - so their European destiny is no longer in their own hands.

An alarming tally of three defeats from their last four in all competitions at Molineux - failing to score in each of those losses - is not cause for optimism either, and worryingly, only Norwich City have struck fewer goals on home soil in the Premier League this term.

Watford manager Roy Hodgson on March 6, 2022© Reuters

Cucho Hernandez scored the pick of the bench on a day where multiple spectacular goals flew in at Vicarage Road, but unfortunately for Watford, three of them went Arsenal's way as the Hornets were brought crashing back down to earth.

After Hernandez had cancelled out a sublime opener from Martin Odegaard, Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli both found the top corner of Ben Foster's goal either side of half time, and a late Moussa Sissoko effort could not inspire a remarkable comeback.

Roy Hodgson appeared to instil a sense of defensive stability into this Watford outfit, but it was not on display against the Gunners as the Hornets lost for the eighth time in a row on home soil, which has made their survival bid all the more difficult.

Watford enter the midweek round of fixtures still languishing in 19th in the table and three points adrift of the safety of 17th spot having played two more games than Everton, but a record of just one goal conceded from their last four top-flight away games is a welcome statistic ahead of Thursday.

However, three of Watford's last four clashes with Wolves in the Premier League have ended in defeat, including a 2-0 loss at Vicarage Road back in September as Francisco Sierralta's own goal and Hwang Hee-chan's effort settled the contest.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Watford Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers defender Ki-Jana Hoever in action against Crystal Palace on March 5, 2022.© Reuters

Wolves defender Hoever was taken off after 25 minutes against Palace with a hamstring strain after Nelson Semedo was ruled out for a month with a similar issue, so Jonny may be required on the right-hand side this week.

Lage has no other concerns to contend with but will certainly consider some alterations after a dismal weekend performance, starting with a probable recall for Raul Jimenez at the tip of the attack.

Leander Dendoncker and Rayan Ait-Nouri could also freshen up the team at a crucial time for Lage, although Marcal was one of the bright sparks on Saturday and could retain his place in the side.

As for Watford, Joshua King may be able to return from his hamstring issue in time for Thursday, but Ismaila Sarr is unlikely to be passed fit for the contest.

Peter Etebo made the matchday squad for the first time since September in the defeat to Arsenal, but William Troost-Ekong and Nicolas Nkoulou remain absent, while Jeremy Ngakia is nursing a hamstring strain of his own.

Watford did give Arsenal a good run for their money and could stick with the same XI for Thursday's game, with Hernandez surely doing enough to warrant another start up front.

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Sa; Kilman, Coady, Saiss; Jonny, Neves, Dendoncker, Ait-Nouri; Hwang, Jimenez, Podence

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Femenia, Cathcart, Samir, Kamara; Sissoko, Louza, Cleverley; Hernandez, Dennis, Pedro


SM words green background

We say: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Watford

Many wondered where the goals would come from under Hodgson at Watford, but Hernandez has provided an answer, and Wolves are not the same defensive force they were a couple of months back.

The Hornets' resilience on the road also makes this an enticing affair, but a fired-up Lage will be demanding an immediate response from his players and has plenty of options for change, so we can see the hosts ending their losing streak by a narrow margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Wolves vs Watford

Wolverhampton Wanderers
73.4%
Draw
13.3%
Watford
13.3%
203
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Watford's Tom Cleverley during the warm up before the match on February 14, 2022
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
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5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


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