Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
48.32% (![]() | 23.53% (![]() | 28.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% (![]() | 41.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% (![]() | 64.37% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% (![]() | 17.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% (![]() | 48.1% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% (![]() | 27.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% (![]() | 63.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |