Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz 05
The home side have a number of defensive injury concerns heading into this game, and their vulnerability could be exposed by a confident and physical Mainz. The away side are also now on a 10-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, but with recent history versus their opponents against them we would be surprised if they left Stuttgart with all three points in the bag. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
67.41% ( 1.84) | 18.35% ( -0.29) | 14.24% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
