MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 03:49:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
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Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Mainz
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Jae-sung (27')
Kohr (45+1'), Caci (45'), Mwene (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ducksch (8' pen.), Kohn (69')
Zetterer (60')
Friedl (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-0 Werder Bremen

Though Mainz are yet to win this season, they demonstrated against Stuttgart that they are difficult to beat. Additionally, while Werder Bremen have done well to remain unbeaten in recent Bundesliga matches, they have struggled to create many chances in their opening two league games of 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
54.76% (1.022 1.02) 22.61% (-0.222 -0.22) 22.62% (-0.801 -0.8)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.107 0.11)42.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.107 0.11)65.21% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.38699999999999 0.39)15.55% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (0.717 0.72)44.48% (-0.718 -0.72)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.646 -0.65)32.73% (0.645 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.725 -0.73)69.29% (0.72399999999999 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 54.76%
    Werder Bremen 22.62%
    Draw 22.61%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05
64.3%
Draw
23.2%
Werder Bremen
12.5%
56
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Krauss (67'), Amiri (79'), Richter (87'), Caci (88')
Ducksch (2')
Stark (35'), Friedl (45'), Bittencourt (88')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
4-0
Mainz
Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Augsburg6213915-67
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
13Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
14Wolfsburg51131011-14
15St Pauli511346-24
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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