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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 24.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
52.06% ( 0.07) | 23.5% ( 0.12) | 24.45% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( -0.72) | 44.83% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% ( -0.7) | 67.19% ( 0.69) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( -0.24) | 17.23% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.47% ( -0.42) | 47.53% ( 0.42) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% ( -0.55) | 32.26% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% ( -0.63) | 68.75% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.87% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 24.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
2 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
4 | Sunderland | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 19 | 58 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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