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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Derby logo

Norwich
vs.
Derby

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Norwich City 2-0 Derby County

Norwich City head into Saturday's clash off the back of securing victories over Swansea and Watford in their last two outings and will be backing themselves to keep the juggernaut rolling against an out-of-sorts Derby County side. The Rams' form is currently nothing to write home about and we see them struggling at Carrow Road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 24.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
52.06% (0.073 0.07) 23.5% (0.119 0.12) 24.45% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.721 -0.72)44.83% (0.718 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.699 -0.7)67.19% (0.69499999999999 0.69)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.241 -0.24)17.23% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (-0.422 -0.42)47.53% (0.419 0.42)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (-0.55200000000001 -0.55)32.26% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.626 -0.63)68.75% (0.624 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 52.06%
    Derby County 24.45%
    Draw 23.49%
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.225 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.06%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 24.45%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich and Derby?

Norwich City
Draw
Derby County
Norwich City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
0.0%
4
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
2-3
Norwich
Forsyth (60'), Taylor (90+1')
Forsyth (21'), Chirewa (77'), Goudmijn (79')
Sainz (45+3', 65', 87')
Duffy (24'), Cordoba (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Derby
0-1
Norwich

Shinnie (11'), Bird (15'), Forsyth (20'), Roberts (68')
Dowell (21')
Oct 3, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Norwich
0-1
Derby

Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')
Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
3-4
Derby
Godfrey (25'), Pukki (31', 81')
Zimmermann (5'), Aarons (45'), Vrancic (62')
Tomori (36'), Mount (45'), Jozefzoon (87'), Marriott (90')
Evans (66'), Holmes (90'), Wilson (90')
Oct 3, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Bryson (86')
Bogle (62')
Klose (69')
Zimmermann (45'), Lewis (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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