We said: Colon 1-1 Talleres (Talleres advance on penalties)
There is little to choose between these two sides, who do not allow much in the attacking third, nor do they create a lot of clear-cut opportunities.
We are picking Talleres to advance, as they are essentially playing with house money and were not expected to make it this far, and that should enable them to play a little looser in what should be a close game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.