MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 19:00:06| >> :600:261898:261898:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Universitario

LDU Quito
2 - 0
Universitario

Arce (44'), Alzugaray (67')
Quinteros (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzales (64')
Gonzales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Botafogo
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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We said: LDU Quito 1-1 Universitario

An encounter as closely-fought as the standings would suggest should be in store on Tuesday, as Quito are ostensibly enjoying the new manager bounce but are still finding their feet under Hurtado's leadership. The free-scoring Ache can certainly make an inconsistent Universitario tremble, but the Peruvian champions have found a streak of defensive resilience and can hold out for the draw required to save their continental bacon in the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawUniversitario
50.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.15%23.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55%77.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 50.52%
    Universitario 23.33%
    Draw 26.14%
LDU QuitoDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.52%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.33%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Universitario

LDU Quito
52.6%
Draw
36.8%
Universitario
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Universitario
2-1
LDU Quito
Rivera (50', 70')
Saravia (13'), Portocarrero (66'), Cabanillas (83')
Quinonez (29')
Angulo (20'), Gonzalez (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark10101
2 Slovenia Slovenia10101
3 England flag England00000
4 Serbia Serbia00000

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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