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Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
2 - 1
LDU Quito

Hugo (31'), Santos (69')
Halter (45'), Freitas (51'), Henrique (56'), Hernandez (90'), Hernandez (93')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Estrada (45+1')
Estrada (45+7'), Dominguez (72'), Piovi (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawLDU Quito
52.74% (-0.106 -0.11) 24.63% (0.064 0.06) 22.62% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.23 -0.23)51.36% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.201 -0.2)73.18% (0.197 0.2)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)19.44% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)51.28% (0.21 0.21)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)37.48% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)74.27% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 52.74%
    LDU Quito 22.62%
    Draw 24.63%
BotafogoDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.74%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 22.62%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
LDU Quito
1-0
Botafogo
Alzugaray (4')
Rodriguez (45+4'), Villamil (67'), Julio (84')
Jun 7, 2023 3am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
0-0
Botafogo
Da Silva (17'), Freitas (52'), Cuesta (64'), Hugo (68'), Santos (78')
May 5, 2023 1am
rhs 2.0
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