Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Puerto Cabello0 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-3 Tigre
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-2 Vasco
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Sao Paulo |
20.12% ( 0.04) | 25.06% ( 0.02) | 54.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.02) | 55.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( -0.02) | 76.77% ( 0.02) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.03) | 42.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.16% ( 0.02) | 78.84% ( -0.02) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.03) | 20.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.38% ( -0.05) | 52.62% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Academia Puerto Cabello 20.12%
Sao Paulo 54.81%
Draw 25.06%
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.12% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 13.73% 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.81% |
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 1.30am
Form Guide
