Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians1 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, May 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, May 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Sao Paulo |
37.39% ( 0.22) | 28.53% ( -0.06) | 34.08% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.75% ( 0.2) | 60.25% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.15) | 80.42% ( -0.15) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( 0.24) | 31% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( 0.28) | 67.3% ( -0.28) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( -0) | 33.14% ( 0) |