Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.