Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.