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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
27.36% ( 0.12) | 23.91% ( 0.07) | 48.73% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.23) | 44.21% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -0.22) | 66.59% ( 0.22) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( -0.03) | 29.63% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.04) | 65.67% ( 0.04) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% ( -0.16) | 18.26% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% ( -0.27) | 49.31% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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