Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
