Juventus1 - 0Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Juventus 2-1 Freiburg
Juventus have not won a European trophy since 1996, and with a point to prove given recent events at the club, they should be clear-minded about their task. While Freiburg are far from pushovers, the Bianconeri possess far more individual quality and experience at this level, so can take a lead with them to Germany next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Freiburg |
56.89% ( 0.66) | 22.38% ( -0.45) | 20.73% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 1.71) | 44.08% ( -1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 1.65) | 66.46% ( -1.65) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.82) | 15.27% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.02% ( 1.51) | 43.97% ( -1.52) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.77) | 35.22% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.02% ( 0.79) | 71.98% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.73% |
