MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 18:29:06| >> :120:8787:8787:
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Roma logo

Union SG
1 - 1
Roma

Mac Allister (77')
Vanhoutte (89'), Sykes (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mancini (62')
Shomurodov (4'), Celik (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Union SG
Saturday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma
Sunday, November 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Union SG 0-1 Roma

Roma have completed the most passes and are averaging the most possession (66%) in the Europa League this season but have failed to make such supremacy count. Meeting a goal-shy Union SG side could help in that regard, as one moment of magic may be enough to secure the Giallorossi's first away win in the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Union SGDrawRoma
44.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 26.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 28.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)55.92% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)25.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)59.81% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)34.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 44.28%
    Roma 28.77%
    Draw 26.94%
Union SGDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Union SG vs Roma

Union SG
19.6%
Draw
17.7%
Roma
62.7%
158
rhs 2.0
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