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Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Brentford
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Brentford 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

Brentford will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend. Taking into account the hosts' impressive home form as well as Plymouth's leaky backline - the worst in the EFL that has conceded 53 goals - we can see the Bees securing safe passage through to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 59.65%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.65% (0.217 0.22) 19.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 20.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 63.91% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.13% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (0.185 0.19)53.72% (-0.19 -0.19)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (0.101 0.1)10.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.54% (0.233 0.23)34.45% (-0.238 -0.24)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)28.49% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)64.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 59.65%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.55%
    Draw 19.8%
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.65%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 20.55%

How you voted: Brentford vs Plymouth

Brentford
81.7%
Draw
11.7%
Plymouth Argyle
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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