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Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)

Flamengo
4 - 1
Union La Calera

Barbosa (31', 79'), De Arrascaeta (34'), Pedro (85')
Vitinho (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Saez (57')
Valencia (58')

Preview: Flamengo vs. Union La Calera - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Union La Calera, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Flamengo welcome Chilean outfit Union La Calera to Brazil on Tuesday, as the sides battle for the top spots in group G of the Copa Libertadores.

The Brazilian outfit kicked off their campaign with a 3-2 win over Velez Sarsfield last time out, while the visitors drew their opening game 2-2 with LDU Quito.


Match preview

Flamengo recorded an important victory in the first game of their Copa Libertadores campaign, when they travelled to Argentina to take on Velez Sarsfield.

The hosts took the lead on two separate occasions through Lucas Janson, but goals from William Arao and Gabriel Barbosa drew Flamengo level before Giorgian de Arrascaeta netted the winning goal with 10 minutes to go.

They followed that up with a league win last time out, as Michael and Vitinho fired Rogerio Ceni's side to a 2-1 home victory over Volta Redonda.

That cemented their spot at the top of the Carioca Serie A table, meaning they now go into the semi-final stage to again take on Volta Retonda, who finished fourth.

However, their attention will remain on the Copa Libertadores, as they look to boost their chances of lifting the trophy for the third time in their history.

The most recent glory came in 2019, as a late Barbosa brace fired Flamengo to a 2-1 victory over River Plate in the final.

They take on a Union La Calera side who will be looking to put their first win of the campaign on the board after a draw last time out.

Andres Vilches gave the Chilean side the lead on two separate occasions, but a Billy Arce brace for LDU Quito saw the game finish level.

They suffered a narrow defeat last time out when they returned to league action, as a Marcelo Larrondo goal in the 76th minute fired O'Higgins to a 1-0 victory.

Luca Marcogiuseppe's side will now look to bounce back from that defeat with a win which would see them leapfrog Flamengo in the group and move into the top two, as they aim to book their spot in the final 16.

Flamengo Copa Libertadores form:
  • W

Flamengo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Union La Calera Copa Libertadores form:
  • D

Union La Calera form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Gabriel Barbosa was the hero in Flamengo's 2019 Copa Libertadores victory, and he will be a key man again this year, leading the line for Rogerio Ceni's side.

He will have plenty of support in attack, as he is expected to partner Bruno Henrique, with the support of Everton Ribeiro and Giorgian de Arrascaeta from midfield.

Meanwhile, Vitinho will be pushing for a starting spot after his winning goal in the last league game.

The core of that 2019 side will again feature on Tuesday, with De Arrascaeta, Ribeiro, Gerson, William Arao and Felipe Luis all still playing key roles.

Luca Marcogiuseppe rested the majority of his key players for the recent league game against O'Higgins, with Tuesday's important game in mind.

That means the likes of Andres Vilches, Jeisson Vargas, Gonzalo Castellani and Simon Ramirez should all return to the starting XI with fresh legs.

Vilches will lead the line, having netted a brace in the opening draw with LDU Quito.

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Alves; Isla, Arao, Henrique, Luis; Diego, Gerson; Ribeiro, De Arrascaeta; Henrique, Barbosa

Union La Calera possible starting lineup:
Arias; Ramirez, C. Vilches, Garcia, Oyanedel; Reyes, Castellani, Wiemberg; Vargas; A. Vilches, Rivero


SM words green background

We say: Flamengo 2-0 Union La Calera

The Brazilian giants should have too much for their opponents on Tuesday, and we see them building on their strong form to kick the Copa Libertadores campaign off with back-to-back victories.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.31%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Flamengo vs Union La Calera

Flamengo
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Union La Calera
12.5%
16
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