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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Peterborough United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Peterborough

Nuttall (11'), Taylor (21')
Taylor (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Peterborough United

Although Ferguson could make alterations to his side, we still think that Peterborough will have enough quality required to claim a narrow win and end Cheltenham's three-year stay in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
17.05% (-1.338 -1.34) 20.81% (-0.864 -0.86) 62.15% (2.206 2.21)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.234 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (1.623 1.62)42.73% (-1.62 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (1.595 1.6)65.13% (-1.59 -1.59)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)38.43% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.564 -0.56)75.18% (0.566 0.57)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (1.194 1.19)13.2% (-1.188 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (2.363 2.36)39.92% (-2.357 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 17.05%
    Peterborough United 62.15%
    Draw 20.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 4.85% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.05%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.4% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.407 0.41)
1-3 @ 6.72% (0.288 0.29)
0-4 @ 3.56% (0.349 0.35)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.285 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.113 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.197 0.2)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.15%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Peterborough

Cheltenham Town
30.6%
Draw
6.1%
Peterborough United
63.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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