Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
18.63% ( -0.15) | 24.62% ( -0.35) | 56.75% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% ( 1.06) | 55.76% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% ( 0.86) | 76.9% ( -0.86) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( 0.44) | 44.25% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( 0.36) | 80.33% ( -0.35) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( 0.62) | 19.57% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.51% ( 0.99) | 51.49% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.63% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 14.12% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |