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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
49.6% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% (![]() | 52.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% (![]() | 74.44% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% (![]() | 54.26% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.78% (![]() | 36.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% (![]() | 73.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 11.93% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 53 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
8 | Reading | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 40 |
12 | Stevenage | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 40 |
13 | Blackpool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 26 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 24 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |