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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Burton Albion

With Port Vale proving to be an irresistible force in the early stages of the season, we think that they will continue their fine run of form by collecting all three points against a struggling Burton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
49.6% (5.002 5) 25.51% (-0.858 -0.86) 24.88% (-4.145 -4.15)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.767 0.77)52.82% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.652 0.65)74.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (2.606 2.61)21.31% (-2.606 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (3.874 3.87)54.26% (-3.873 -3.87)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-2.954 -2.95)36.22% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-3.125 -3.13)73.01% (3.126 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.6%
    Burton Albion 24.89%
    Draw 25.5%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.406 0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% (1.083 1.08)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.554 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.871 0.87)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.448 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.918 -0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.741 -0.74)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
11.30pm
Chiefs
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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