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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
41.05% ( -0.35) | 25.62% ( 0.06) | 33.32% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% ( -0.19) | 48.97% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% ( -0.18) | 71.06% ( 0.17) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.26) | 23.64% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( -0.38) | 57.73% ( 0.37) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.09) | 27.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.11) | 63.62% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |