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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
63.93% (![]() | 21.04% (![]() | 15.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% (![]() | 47.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.35% (![]() | 69.65% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% (![]() | 14.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% (![]() | 41.82% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.13% (![]() | 43.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.98% (![]() | 80.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 12.13% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |