Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.