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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
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Morecambe
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Salford City
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Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
1 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Salford City

So much is at stake for both sides in the race for promotion, but they are very evenly-matched, and so we expect they will have to settle for a draw on Friday night. Salford have been very good away from home all season, but Stockport are League Two's form side, and they have not lost a league game at Edgeley Park since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
49.72% (0.52 0.52) 24.8% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.48% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.092999999999996 0.09)49.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)71.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.253 0.25)19.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.406 0.41)52.06% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)33.91% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.322 -0.32)70.58% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.72%
    Salford City 25.48%
    Draw 24.79%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
50.0%
Draw
18.8%
Salford City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
11.30pm
Chiefs
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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