Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca
America3 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 America
Monday, May 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Atlas
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CD Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Club Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
Result | ||
Club America | Draw | Toluca |
55.24% | 24.96% | 19.8% |
Both teams to score 45.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% | 55.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% | 76.77% |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% | 20.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% | 52.35% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.19% | 42.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% | 79.13% |
Score Analysis |
Club America 55.22%
Toluca 19.8%
Draw 24.96%
Club America | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 5.03% 4-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.8% |
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 11.30pm
Toluca
3-1
America
Aguilera (49' pen.)
Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')
Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')
Sep 13, 2020 3am
America
1-1
Toluca
Sartiaguin (29')
Sartiaguin (37'), Abella (63')
Sartiaguin (37'), Abella (63')
Apr 11, 2020 11pm