Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for Lens had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.