Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.