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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Atlanta
2 - 2
Houston

Rios (25'), Silva (55')
Silva (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Escobar (5'), Blessing (89')
Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (44'), Ibrahim (53'), Micael (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 2 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-4 Houston Dynamo

Houston and Atlanta have both struggled for form recently, but given the sheer number of absentees that Atlanta have to contend with it is fair to say that they could struggle on Sunday. Additionally, this fixture has a history of high-scoring encounters so fans could be in for an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
50.82% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 22.97% (0.044 0.04) 26.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.165 -0.16)40.86% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)63.25% (0.169 0.17)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)16.22% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.168 -0.17)45.72% (0.166 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.74% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)64.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 50.82%
    Houston Dynamo 26.2%
    Draw 22.97%
Atlanta UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Houston

Atlanta United
55.2%
Draw
13.8%
Houston Dynamo
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2020 1.30am
Jul 18, 2019 12am
Atlanta
5-0
Houston
Nagbe (27'), Vazquez (29'), Martinez (60', 79'), Gressel (88')

Elis (6'), Vera (45'), Quioto (79')
Elis (6')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Houston
4-0
Atlanta
Wenger (5'), Senderos (23'), Manotas (27'), Ceren (45')
Seitz (61')

Gonzalez Pirez (32'), McCann (34'), Gressel (45')
May 21, 2017 12am
Atlanta
4-1
Houston
Almiron (30', 42', 80' pen.), Gressel (76')
Garza (51')
Torres (90' pen.)
DeLaGarza (54'), Machado (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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