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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
First Tennessee Park
Atlanta United

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
53.66% (2.345 2.35) 22.73% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.6% (-1.896 -1.9)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.2 0.2)42.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.198 0.2)64.67% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)15.73% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (1.633 1.63)44.82% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-1.44 -1.44)31.57% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-1.691 -1.69)67.97% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.66%
    Atlanta United 23.6%
    Draw 22.73%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.429 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.415 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.197 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.259 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville SC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlanta United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-0
Nashville
Silva (26'), Almada (46'), Robinson (57'), Lobzhanidze (87')
Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66')
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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