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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
First Tennessee Park
Atlanta United

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
53.66% (2.345 2.35) 22.73% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.6% (-1.896 -1.9)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.2 0.2)42.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.198 0.2)64.67% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)15.73% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (1.633 1.63)44.82% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-1.44 -1.44)31.57% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-1.691 -1.69)67.97% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.66%
    Atlanta United 23.6%
    Draw 22.73%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.429 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.415 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.197 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.259 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville SC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlanta United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-0
Nashville
Silva (26'), Almada (46'), Robinson (57'), Lobzhanidze (87')
Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66')
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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