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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Chicago Fire

Orlando City
4 - 2
Chicago Fire

Torres (4', 60'), Muriel (20' pen.), Angulo (29')
Araujo (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Haile-Selassie (53' pen.), Cuypers (69')
Cuypers (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Orlando City
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire

Although both sides avoided defeat in their last game, it is Chicago Fire who have recently built up a head of steam. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to make it three MLS triumphs on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
50.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 25.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.052 0.05)45.97% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73% (0.049000000000003 0.05)68.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)18.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.050999999999995 0.05)49.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.019000000000002 0.02)68.72% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 50.86%
    Chicago Fire 25.22%
    Draw 23.92%
Orlando CityDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Chicago Fire

Orlando City
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
Chicago Fire
44.4%
9
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-3
Orlando City
Pineda (47')
Gimenez (59'), Doumbia (71'), Shaqiri (74'), Pineda (76')
Cartagena (50'), Angulo (54'), Torres (68' pen.)
Schlegel (34'), Torres (55')
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-1
Chicago Fire
Torres (38', 55' pen.), Enrique (75')
Jansson (35'), Dan Thor­halls­son (90+9')
Shaqiri (66' pen.)
Souquet (20'), Navarro (72')
Souquet (84')
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Chicago Fire
0-0
Orlando City
Herbers (12'), Navarro (63'), Duran (79'), Sekulic (81'), Gimenez (90+3')
Araujo (90'), Gallese (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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