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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Los Angeles FC

Seattle
0 - 3
Los Angeles


Tolo (14'), Paulo (45+9'), Rothrock (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bouanga (16' pen., 74'), Bogusz (26')
Bogusz (62'), Murillo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 St Louis City
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 18 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Los Angeles FC

This is a tricky tie for both teams, as Seattle Sounders currently have the momentum, but LAFC have thrived in this fixture for the last couple of years and are one of the best sides in the league this year - which is why we are settling for a draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawLos Angeles FC
46.84% (1.13 1.13) 24.72% (-0.073 -0.07) 28.44% (-1.055 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.279 -0.28)47.12% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.261 -0.26)69.35% (0.264 0.26)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.375 0.38)20.18% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (0.594 0.59)52.48% (-0.591 -0.59)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (-0.89800000000001 -0.9)30.35% (0.901 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (-1.085 -1.09)66.54% (1.087 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 46.84%
    Los Angeles FC 28.44%
    Draw 24.72%
Seattle SoundersDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Seattle vs Los Angeles

Seattle Sounders
42.6%
Draw
29.8%
Los Angeles FC
27.7%
47
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 9.30pm
Los Angeles
2-1
Seattle
Tillman (45'), Bogusz (55')
Long (72'), Tillman (89')
De la Vega (73' pen.)
Roldan (37'), Tolo (66')
Nov 27, 2023 2.30am
Seattle
0-1
Los Angeles

Tolo (20'), Atencio (40'), Paulo (66')
Bouanga (30')
Crepeau (84'), Palacios (86'), Chiellini (90')
Jun 22, 2023 3.30am
Jul 30, 2022 4am
rhs 2.0
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