Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Bromley |
27.17% ( -6.33) | 24.53% ( -0.69) | 48.3% ( 7.01) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( 0.07) | 47.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( 0.06) | 69.34% ( -0.06) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( -4.29) | 31.29% ( 4.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( -5.3) | 67.64% ( 5.29) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( 3.17) | 19.56% ( -3.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% ( 4.93) | 51.47% ( -4.94) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Bromley |
1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.93) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -1.05) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -1.13) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.79) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.7) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.17% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.89) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 1.41) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.8) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 1.11) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.49) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.58) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.16) Other @ 3% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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