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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Aldershot Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Aldershot

Mullin (28'), Jones (38')
McFadzean (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amaluzor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-0 Aldershot Town

 Wrexham are looking for one thing only this season, and that is promotion, which is why a match like this will be seen as must win. The attacking qualities of the Welsh club should prove to be far too much for Aldershot Town here, and Parkinson's men will secure a comfortable three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
80.78% (0.307 0.31) 12.1% (-0.216 -0.22) 7.11% (-0.095 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.508 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.57% (0.81099999999999 0.81)27.43% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.97% (1.014 1.01)48.03% (-1.019 -1.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (0.206 0.21)5.16% (-0.2111 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (0.616 0.62)20.47% (-0.62 -0.62)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (0.415 0.41)44.78% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (0.331 0.33)80.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 80.78%
    Aldershot Town 7.11%
    Draw 12.1%
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 10.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 5.97% (0.098 0.1)
5-0 @ 4.4% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 3.54% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.067 0.07)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.068 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.75% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.059 0.06)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 80.78%
1-1 @ 5.51% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.1%
1-2 @ 2.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 7.11%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Aldershot

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Aldershot Town
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-1
Aldershot
Mullin (35', 68'), Davies (49'), Palmer (57')
Young (61')
Phillips (90+2')
Daniel (42')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aldershot
0-5
Wrexham

Andrews (20'), Wagstaff (33'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (42')
Hayden (40'), Lennon (43'), Hall-Johnson (58'), Ponticelli (61'), Davies (68')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Aldershot
3-0
Wrexham
Nouble (26', 47'), Anderson (68')
Rees (45+3'), Colombie (77'), Panayiotou (84')

Hall-Johnson (39'), Reckord (45+1')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Aldershot
Young (64')

Phillips (45+1'), Edser (50')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
Aldershot
Hooper (90')
Jennings (56'), Redmond (90')
Chislett (63'), Bettamer (69')
Powell (54'), Lyons-Foster (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
10AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
11Eastleigh2581163533235
12Yeovil TownYeovil25105103129235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2577112636-1028
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2516181760-439
> National League Full Table


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