Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.