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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Brighton & Hove Albion hold on for a hard-fought 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.1% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.99% (-0.101 -0.1) 46.91% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33)43.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (0.324 0.32)65.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.264 0.26)18.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.44 0.44)50.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 29.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%
    Draw 23.99%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
33.3%
Draw
28.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
37.7%
114
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Brighton
Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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