Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 2Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Benfica 3-1 Rio Ave
While Rio Ave will be looking to build on their victory over Santa Clara, they go up against a Benfica side who are unbeaten in their last 21 games across all competitions. We predict that Benfica will take the positives from their draw with Paris Saint-Germain to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
73.76% ( -0.08) | 15.61% ( 0.05) | 10.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
