Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
48.92% ( -0.22) | 22.17% ( -0.11) | 28.91% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 64.99% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.1% ( 0.77) | 34.9% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.12% ( 0.85) | 56.88% ( -0.85) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.3% ( 0.21) | 14.7% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.12% ( 0.4) | 42.88% ( -0.4) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( 0.59) | 23.81% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( 0.85) | 57.98% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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