Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
38.03% (![]() | 25.78% (![]() | 36.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% (![]() | 49.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% (![]() | 71.29% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% (![]() | 60.13% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% (![]() | 26.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% (![]() | 61.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.18% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |