MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:38:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Lookman (59')
Scalvini (31'), Hateboer (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bonaventura (4'), Amrabat (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina have been far from convincing thus far, and while Atalanta's standing has been aided by a kind fixture list, the hosts can overcome both their opponents and a dismal home record throughout 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
57.37% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.29% (0.02 0.02) 20.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.8% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)44.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)15.16% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)43.76% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)35.67% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (-0.032 -0.03)72.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.36%
    Fiorentina 20.35%
    Draw 22.28%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Fiorentina
6.0%
134
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!