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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Lecce logo

Bologna
4 - 0
Lecce

Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Lecce

Bologna are brilliant at home, while Lecce have been woeful away. Surely the hosts should secure back-to-back wins at the Salentini's expense, helping them keep pace with Italy's top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLecce
58.86% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 24.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 17.1% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.81% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)76.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.91% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.09% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)81.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 58.85%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 24.04%
BolognaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Bologna vs Lecce

Bologna
75.6%
Draw
14.6%
Lecce
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta301551055342150
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina30127114235743
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa31911113438-438
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Udinese31416113047-1728
16Empoli3277182548-2328
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3169162842-1427
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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