MX23RW : Sunday, April 14 07:36:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Fiorentina

D'Aversa is running out of time to turn Lecce's fortunes around, and another one or two bad results could see them drop into the bottom three, and this fixture looks difficult on paper. Fiorentina have been far from convincing in all competitions so far during 2024, but facing a side in much worse form should provide them with a good chance of winning, especially given the return of Gonzalez. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
27.65% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.93% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.026 -0.03)76.22% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)35.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.032 -0.03)71.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 27.65%
    Fiorentina 45.81%
    Draw 26.53%
LecceDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.81%

How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce
11.5%
Draw
21.6%
Fiorentina
66.9%
139
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan31264175156082
2AC Milan31215560342668
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta301551055342150
7Lazio32154134135649
8Napoli31139948381048
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina30127114235743
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa31911113438-438
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari3179153252-2030
15Udinese31416113047-1728
16Empoli3277182548-2328
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3169162842-1427
18FrosinoneFrosinone3168173861-2326
19SassuoloSassuolo3167183659-2325
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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