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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Salernitana

Bologna
3 - 0
Salernitana

Orsolini (14'), Saelemaekers (44'), Lykogiannis (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pierozzi (16'), Candreva (45+1'), Tchaouna (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Bologna
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-1 Lecce
Saturday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-0 Salernitana

 Without Zirkzee in attack, Bologna struggled to make things happen in the final third last time out. However, we think they have enough firing power in attack to get maximum points against the league's second-worst defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.07%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSalernitana
72.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 18.03% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 9.87% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.2% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.19% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (0.025000000000006 0.03)11.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.34% (0.055 0.05)36.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.75% (-0.064 -0.06)52.25% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.83% (-0.041 -0.04)86.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 72.08%
    Salernitana 9.87%
    Draw 18.03%
BolognaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.07%
3-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.87%

How you voted: Bologna vs Salernitana

Bologna
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
Salernitana
3.7%
81
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Fazio (90+2')
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
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> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
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> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
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> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
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3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514
> Serie A Full Table


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