Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sassuolo in this match.
