Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio3 - 0Genoa
We said: Lazio 2-0 Genoa
Having rested some key players on Thursday, an in-form Lazio squad should secure another win at the weekend, as they have too much firepower for their ailing opponents. Now burdened by numerous injuries, Genoa have already conceded a league-high 13 goals during the second half of games this season, so they will eventually crumble. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
66.97% ( -0.02) | 20.63% ( 0.02) | 12.39% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
