Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.