Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
7 | Cardiff MU | 33 | -4 | 42 |
8 | Pen-y-Bont | 33 | -8 | 41 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
60.22% | 23.61% | 16.17% |
Both teams to score 43.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% | 55.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% | 76.67% |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.84% | 18.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.86% | 49.14% |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.82% | 47.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.38% | 82.62% |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
1-0 @ 14.61% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 5.33% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.03% Total : 60.21% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 4.12% 0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.17% |
Price (84')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
Evans (45')
(72')