MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 01:19:54| >> :120:21072:21072:
Leyton Orient
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Derby logo

Leyton Orient
1 - 1
Derby

Kelman (20')
Pratley (43'), Donley (74'), Clare (90+2')
Clare (113')
FT
(aet)
Brown (24')
Adams (84')
Leyton Orient win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's rearranged FA Cup clash between Leyton Orient and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Leyton Orient 1-2 Derby County

Following a five-game winning streak in League One, Leyton Orient will not fear the arrival of Derby at Gaughan Group Stadium on Tuesday night. However, we feel that the Rams will have enough quality on the pitch and in reserve to squeeze into the fourth round at the expense of the in-form O's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.47%).

Result
Leyton OrientDrawDerby County
54.99% (-0.198 -0.2) 25.25% (0.269 0.27) 19.77% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.87% (-0.807 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.019 -1.02)56.66% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.826 -0.83)77.63% (0.828 0.83)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.483 -0.48)20.62% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (-0.77 -0.77)53.18% (0.773 0.77)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.53% (-0.668 -0.67)43.47% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (-0.56 -0.56)79.69% (0.563 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 54.98%
    Derby County 19.77%
    Draw 25.25%
Leyton OrientDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 14.15% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.77%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Derby

Leyton Orient
55.2%
Derby County
44.8%
87
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Derby
3-0
Leyton Orient
Moncur (10'), Bradley (18', 86')
Cashin (82')

Galbraith (53')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
0-3
Derby

El Mizouni (47')
Cooper (44')
Sibley (34'), Mendez-Laing (47'), Barkhuizen (79')
Hourihane (8')
rhs 2.0
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