Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 45%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
