Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
1 - 1
Angola

Bounedjah (18')
Bensebaini (35'), Bentaleb (48'), Bennacer (52'), Atal (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mabululu (68' pen.)
Fortuna (32')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Algeria and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Last Game: Burundi 0-4 Algeria
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Angola

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-3 Angola
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Having failed to win their three group-stage games in 2021, Algeria will be looking to fly out of the blocks and begin as they mean to go on in Ivory Coast. The Desert Warriors boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad, and while we expect Angola to put up a fight, we fancy them claiming all three points at the Stade de la Paix. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Angola
62.52% ( 0.08)	22.92% ( -0.02)	14.56% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 41.73% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.42% (

-0.03)

55.58% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.25% (

-0.02)

76.75% (

0.03)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

0.02)

17.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.22% (

0.03)

47.78% (

-0.03)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.5% (

-0.1)

49.5% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.69% (

-0.08)

84.31% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Algeria 62.52%

Angola 14.56%

Draw 22.92%

Algeria	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 62.52%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 14.56%